Research on Life Assessment Method of Spacecraft Optical Cable Based on Degradation Data

M. Long, Hu Fang, Zhou Yuege, Yao Zemin, Pang Bo
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Abstract

Optical cable communication is an important development direction of spacecraft bus transmission due to its advantages of large capacity, light weight and low loss. This paper introduces the structure of optical cables for spacecraft and summarizes the main failure modes. During the on-orbit service, the product characteristics tend to deteriorate with the increase of service time. Loss coefficient is a sensitive parameter to characterize the degradation process. That is, loss coefficient has obvious degradation in the lifetime. In view of the degradation behavior, the loss coefficient is taken as the sensitive degradation parameter. The data obtained from accelerated test are used to establish the performance degradation model of optical cables, to clarify the degradation law. The particle filter method is used to predict the degradation trend and the service life, so as to provide guidance for engineering application.
基于退化数据的航天器光缆寿命评估方法研究
光缆通信具有容量大、重量轻、损耗低等优点,是航天器总线传输的重要发展方向。介绍了航天器用光缆的结构,总结了其主要失效模式。在在轨服役期间,随着服役时间的增加,产品特性有恶化的趋势。损耗系数是表征材料退化过程的敏感参数。即损耗系数在寿命期内有明显的衰减。考虑到材料的退化特性,采用损耗系数作为敏感退化参数。利用加速试验数据建立了光缆的性能退化模型,阐明了光缆的退化规律。采用颗粒滤波法对其降解趋势和使用寿命进行预测,为工程应用提供指导。
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