A risky prediction model of driving behaviors: especially for cognitive distracted driving behaviors

Guo Baicang, Jin Lisheng, Shi Jian, Zhang Shunran
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Abstract

The non-driving related operation behavior in driving process has a significant impact on road traffic status and driving safety, but there is less systematic study on the main characteristics and influence mechanism of such behaviors. Aiming at this problem, four types of typical behaviors of normal and abnormal driving are monitored and recorded by real vehicle test. The cognitive distracted driving behavior is taken as the research object, and the influence mechanism and prediction method of distracted driving are studied by using the driver's physiological state and vehicle running state. This paper focuses on the changes and statistical characteristics of driver's physiological state parameters and vehicle running state parameters during distracted driving, and then explores the influence mechanism of different types of distracted driving tasks with different loads on driver's state. This paper analyzes the influence mechanism from two aspects of human and vehicle. Based on the comparison of behavior criterion and load criterion, the parameter system of cognitive distracted driving behavior considering driving load is obtained after cross analysis. The prediction model is established as the training sample of LSTM model, and the model is tested with the data collected from real vehicle test After 100000 iterations, the training accuracy is 90.2% on the training set and 74% on the test set. The results showed that the cross-comparison method is scientific and reasonable, and the prediction model of distracted driving behavior based on physiological state and vehicle running state has good accuracy.
驾驶行为的风险预测模型:特别是对认知分心驾驶行为
驾驶过程中的非驾驶相关操作行为对道路交通状况和驾驶安全有显著影响,但对其主要特征及其影响机制的系统研究较少。针对这一问题,通过实车试验对正常和异常驾驶的四种典型行为进行了监控和记录。以认知分心驾驶行为为研究对象,结合驾驶员生理状态和车辆运行状态,研究分心驾驶的影响机制和预测方法。本文重点研究分心驾驶过程中驾驶员生理状态参数和车辆运行状态参数的变化及统计特征,进而探讨不同类型、不同负荷的分心驾驶任务对驾驶员状态的影响机制。本文从人与车两个方面分析了影响机理。在比较行为准则和负荷准则的基础上,通过交叉分析得到考虑负荷的认知分心驾驶行为参数体系。将预测模型建立为LSTM模型的训练样本,用实车测试采集的数据对模型进行测试,经过100000次迭代,训练集上的训练准确率为90.2%,测试集上的训练准确率为74%。结果表明,交叉比对方法科学合理,基于生理状态和车辆运行状态的分心驾驶行为预测模型具有较好的准确性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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