ASSESSMENT OF CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON THE HYDROLOGIC RISK BY QUANTITATIVE ALTERATION IN THE CATALAN INTERNAL BASINS

L. Soler, J. P. Arquiola, J. Álvarez, Antoni Munné Torras
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Abstract

The Catalan Internal Basins has a peculiarity in respect of other Mediterranean basins; its total urban demand exceeds the agriculture extractions, so the returns of the wastewater treatment plants have special relevance in the total water balance. Usually, the main quantitative alterations of the hydraulic regime of the rivers are the regulation of reservoirs and the demands. The main objective of this study is to include and evaluate the quantitative pressure of urban discharges on the analysed system, in order to estimate the altered regime risk of water bodies and analyse their evolution in future scenarios of Climate Change. The tool used to achieve these goals is the Rapid Response Environmental Status (R2EA) model. Firstly, from results, the percentage of the volume dumped over the total inflows of each of the bodies is calculated and the simulated period is evaluated. Secondly, the percentage of water extraction is calculated from discharges located upstream of the intake for each of the urban demands included in the model. These indices are calculated for three Climate Change scenarios. The calculated indices analysed show that the water regime alteration by discharges mainly affects temporal water bodies. In addition, a significant risk increase during summer months is identified. Finally, we propose that the water managers should use this approach in order to characterize the vulnerability level by quantitative alteration of aquatic ecosystems.
气候变化对加泰罗尼亚内部流域水文风险影响的定量变化评估
加泰罗尼亚内部盆地与其他地中海盆地相比具有独特性;它的总城市需求超过了农业提取,因此废水处理厂的回报在总水平衡中具有特殊的相关性。通常,河流水势的主要定量变化是水库的调节和需求。本研究的主要目的是纳入并评估城市排放对所分析系统的定量压力,以估计水体的改变状态风险,并分析其在未来气候变化情景下的演变。用于实现这些目标的工具是快速响应环境状态(R2EA)模型。首先,根据结果计算倾倒体积占各体总流入的百分比,并对模拟周期进行评估。其次,根据模型中包含的每个城市需求,从取水口上游的排放物中计算出取水的百分比。这些指数是根据三种气候变化情景计算的。对计算指标的分析表明,径流引起的水情变化主要影响时间水体。此外,在夏季,风险显著增加。最后,我们建议水资源管理者应利用这一方法,通过水生生态系统的定量变化来表征脆弱性水平。
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