Latent heating profiles from GOES-16 and its comparison to heating from NEXRAD and GPM

Abstract

Abstract. Latent heating (LH) is an important quantity in both weather forecasting and climate analysis, being the essential factor driving convective systems. Yet, inferring LH rates from our current observing systems is challenging at best. For climate studies, LH has been retrieved from the Precipitation Radar (PR) on the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) using model simulations in the look-up table (LUT) that relates instantaneous radar profiles to corresponding heating profiles. These radars, first on TRMM and then Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM), provide a continuous record of LH. However, with observations approximately 3 days apart, its temporal resolution is too coarse to be used to initiate convection in forecast models. In operational forecast models such as High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR), convection is initiated from LH derived from ground based radar. Despite the high spatial and temporal resolution of ground-based radars, one disadvantage of using it is that its data are only available over well observed land areas. This study suggests a method to derive LH from the Geostationary Operational-Environmental Satellite-16 (GOES-16) in near-real time. Even though the visible and infrared channels on the Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) provide mostly cloud top information, rapid changes in cloud top visible and infrared properties, when coupled to a LUT similar to those used by the TRMM and GPM radars, can equally be used to derive LH profiles for convective regions using model simulations coupled to a convective classification scheme and channel 14 (11.2 μm) brightness temperature. Convective regions detected by GOES-16 are assigned LH from the LUT, and they are compared with LH from NEXRAD and one of Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) products, Goddard Convective-Stratiform Heating (CSH). LH obtained from GOES-16 show similar magnitude with NEXRAD and CSH, and vertical distribution of LH is also very similar with CSH. Overall, GOES LH appear to have the ability to mimic LH from radars, although the area identified as convective is roughly 25 % smaller than the current HRRR model, while the heating is correspondingly higher.