IS THERE EARNINGS DISCONTINUITY AFTER THE IMPLEMENTATION OF IFRS IN NIGERIA?

A. Gbadebo
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Abstract

Earnings metrics are major financial indicators which capital market participants and investors focus on for informed decisions. Because reporting earnings increase may enhance firms’ stock price, many managers are motivated to avoid reporting earnings decreases, but prefer to consistently report increase earnings greater than its previous valuation. There is evidence that such practice has led to a situation of conspicuous upward shift in frequency of observations, starting from the left of identified earnings benchmark to the right. Recent studies have shown that a change in accounting regulation may have effects on the shape of the firm-year distribution of earnings. This paper examines the discontinuity evidence for Nigeria, in relation to the adoption of the international financial reporting standard. The aim is to establish whether discontinuity in earnings, represented by the asset-scaled net profits, as well the discontinuity in earnings-change, has reduced following the adoption. According to literature, the study employs three methods – empirical histogram, standardise differences tests and the permutation tests – to validate the aims. The findings suppose evidence for increase in discontinuity, indicating increased in small profits’ earnings management, after the adoption. Contrary, the evidence is not sufficient to conclude that the discontinuity has increase for the earnings-change. It can be argued that the adoption has not achieve much in ensuring firms are monitored against earnings management to avoid losses. The study has limitation, since it considers only the distributions of earnings and earnings-changes. The distribution of forecast errors is not investigated because such is influence by forecast management. Future studies may consider this for improvement.
尼日利亚实施国际财务报告准则后是否存在盈余不连续性?
收益指标是资本市场参与者和投资者关注的主要财务指标,以做出明智的决策。由于报告收益增加可能会提高公司的股价,许多经理都有动机避免报告收益减少,但更愿意持续报告收益增加大于之前的估值。有证据表明,这种做法导致了观察频率明显上升的情况,从确定的盈利基准的左侧开始向右侧移动。最近的研究表明,会计法规的变化可能会对公司年度收益分配的形状产生影响。本文考察了尼日利亚与采用国际财务报告准则有关的不连续性证据。其目的是确定在采用后,以资产规模净利润为代表的收益不连续性以及收益变化的不连续性是否减少了。根据文献资料,本研究采用了实证直方图、标准化差异检验和排列检验三种方法来验证研究目的。研究结果表明,采用会计准则后,微利盈余管理的不连续性有所增加。相反,证据并不足以得出结论,不连续性增加了收入的变化。可以认为,在确保公司对盈余管理进行监控以避免损失方面,采用这种方法并没有取得多大成就。这项研究有局限性,因为它只考虑了收入的分布和收入的变化。由于预报误差的分布受预报管理的影响,本文没有对其进行研究。未来的研究可能会考虑改进这一点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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