The Importance of Railroad Freight Transportation and Its Correlation to Economic Growth: An Empirical Study on Turkey

Volkan Köse, D. T. Dinç, A. Gökmen
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Abstract

In this study, the railroad freight transportation and economic growth relationship in Turkey was examined using the econometric analysis for the period of 1984-2017. As a result of the econometric analysis, it was found that there is no causal relationship between railroad freight transportation and economic growth in the long run, while there is a causality relationship from railroad freight transportation to economic growth in the short run. In addition to causality tests, an econometric model was created using stationary series, and the OLS method was applied for this model. According to this estimation result, an increase in railroad freight transportation increases economic growth. When this result obtained from the OLS estimation and the findings obtained from the Granger causality test are evaluated altogether, it can be stated that an increase in railroad freight transportation accelerates economic growth in the short run in Turkey.
铁路货物运输的重要性及其对经济增长的相关性:土耳其的实证研究
在本研究中,利用1984-2017年期间的计量经济分析,研究了土耳其铁路货运与经济增长的关系。通过计量分析发现,铁路货运与经济增长在长期内不存在因果关系,而铁路货运与经济增长在短期内存在因果关系。除因果关系检验外,使用平稳序列建立计量经济模型,并对该模型采用OLS方法。根据这一估计结果,铁路货物运输量的增加会促进经济增长。将OLS估计的结果和格兰杰因果检验的结果综合起来评价,可以认为铁路货运的增加在短期内加速了土耳其的经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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