Model Matematika Pengendalian Penyebaran Penyakit Schistosomiasis Menggunakan Itik Sebagai Musuh Alami Bagi Keong Perantara Schistosomiasis

I. Karini, R. Ratianingsih
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Abstract

In Indonesia Schistosomiasis is only found in Central Sulawesi Province, in the highlands of Lindu, the Napu plateau and the Bada plateau, Poso Regency. The disease is caused by the Schistosoma japonicum worm which requires an intermediary host, namely the Oncomelania hupensis lindoensis snail, which is an endemic animal in the area. This study examined mathematically the control of the spread of Schistosomiasis by using ducks as natural enemies for intermediate snails. The human population is divided into vulnerable human subpopulations and a subpopulation of infected humans. Interactions between snail populations and duck populations are expressed as interactions between Predator and Prey. The Schistosoma japonicum worm population is seen as a population growth cycle model. The stability of the model is analyzed using the Jacobi matrix, which is evaluated at a critical point. The model has two critical points 𝑇1 and 𝑇2 which represent a disease-free conditions, while 𝑇3 represents endemic point. Mathematical model simulations controlling the spread of Schistosomiasis. The simulation is using ducks with early populations indicate that disease control by using ducks is less effective because it takes a very long time to be estimated at 55 years. Keywords : Conch Oncomelania Hupensis Lindoensis, Duck, Schistosomiasis, Schistosoma Japonicum Worm.
在印度尼西亚,血吸虫病仅在苏拉威西省中部、林都高地、纳普高原和巴达高原、波索摄政地区发现。该疾病是由日本血吸虫引起的,它需要一个中间宿主,即武汉钉螺,这是该地区的一种特有动物。本研究以鸭子为中间螺的天敌,从数学上考察了血吸虫病传播的控制。人口分为易感人群亚群和受感染人群亚群。蜗牛种群和鸭子种群之间的相互作用表现为捕食者和猎物之间的相互作用。日本血吸虫种群被视为种群增长周期模型。利用雅可比矩阵分析了模型的稳定性,并在一个临界点处对其进行了评价。模型有两个临界点𝑇1和𝑇2,分别代表无病状态,𝑇3代表流行点。控制血吸虫病传播的数学模型模拟。模拟使用早期种群的鸭子表明,使用鸭子控制疾病的效果较差,因为需要很长时间才能估计到55年。关键词:林多螺,湖北钉螺,鸭,血吸虫病,血吸虫
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