Educational Reform to Correct the Past: Namibian Evidence

H. J. Sartorius von Bach, E. Nuppenau
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Abstract

This paper used graduation statistics of the Namibian secondary higher education over two decades to determine linkages to human capital of the youth and its multiplication into economic development. The paper assessed the effect of regional differences to show historic educational discrimination and why the education reform was required to correct the skewed past. It was hypothesized that the educational reform would result into improvements of the academic levels within the disadvantaged regions and anticipated that the correction will partly have negative effects on the previously advantaged regions. By applying panel data, the paper attempts to simultaneously address the complex relationships of development, education, and the underlying causalities within the economic system of Namibia. Concepts in the testing of socio-economic components are done by looking at confounding logics, stochastics, and the use of latent variables to determine linkages by using the canonical correlation method. This approach could be extended in future as guide for decisions on education. Our study shows that the implementation of the Namibian education reform resulted into increased enrolment numbers, but unfortunately also into the declining of academic levels, combined with the narrowing of learners’ outputs. The reform response in the previously disadvantaged regions was slower than expected. Findings of the longitudinal data show that education levels in Namibia partly contributed towards human capital formation to multiply into economic development. The study shows that the method of analyzing linkages between cause and effect by means of causality provides advantages for analysis. The results confirm findings that human capital formation has a positive effect on the country's economic status, but for efficacy analysis of policy, we need regional information.
纠正过去的教育改革:纳米比亚的证据
本文利用纳米比亚二十年来中等高等教育毕业统计数据来确定青年人力资本与经济发展之间的联系。文章分析了地区差异的影响,揭示了历史上的教育歧视,以及为什么需要进行教育改革来纠正扭曲的过去。假设教育改革将导致落后地区的学术水平的提高,并预测这种纠正将在一定程度上对以前的优势地区产生负面影响。通过应用面板数据,本文试图同时解决纳米比亚经济体系中发展、教育和潜在因果关系的复杂关系。社会经济成分测试中的概念是通过查看混淆逻辑、随机和使用典型相关方法确定联系的潜在变量来完成的。今后可以扩大这种做法,作为教育决策的指南。我们的研究表明,纳米比亚教育改革的实施导致了入学人数的增加,但不幸的是,也导致了学术水平的下降,以及学习者产出的缩小。以前处于不利地位的地区的改革反应比预期的要慢。纵向数据的研究结果表明,纳米比亚的教育水平在一定程度上促进了人力资本的形成,从而扩大到经济发展。研究表明,利用因果关系分析因果关系的方法为分析提供了有利条件。研究结果证实了人力资本形成对国家经济地位的正向影响,但对政策的有效性分析需要区域信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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