The Empirical Analysis of Fiscal Policy in Urbanization Development

Xiaofeng Zhang, Shu-min Yang
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Abstract

Urbanization is an important driving force for China’s economic development, and it is inseparable from the support of fiscal policies. Therefore, establishing a modern fiscal system and deepening the reform of the tax system to promote rapid urbanization have become urgent issues. Based on the analysis of the role of fiscal policy in urbanization development, empirical analysis by using the VAR model show that there is a close co-integration relationship between urbanization development and fiscal policy. So it is important to establish a “two-way mechanism” between urbanization development and fiscal policy. The gradual and alternative effects of the two major variables of fiscal policy can promote the development of urbanization, at the same time, accelerating the process of urbanization can continuously improve the fiscal policy, such as promoting the steady growth of public fiscal revenue and the scientific allocation of public fiscal expenditure. Keywords—urbanization; fiscal policy; VAR model
城镇化发展中的财政政策实证分析
城镇化是中国经济发展的重要动力,离不开财政政策的支持。因此,建立现代财政制度,深化税收制度改革,促进快速城市化已成为当务之急。在分析财政政策对城镇化发展作用的基础上,运用VAR模型进行实证分析,发现城镇化发展与财政政策之间存在着密切的协整关系。因此,建立城镇化发展与财政政策的“双向机制”十分重要。财政政策两大变量的渐进性和替代性效应可以促进城镇化的发展,同时,加快城镇化进程可以不断完善财政政策,如促进公共财政收入的稳定增长和公共财政支出的科学分配。Keywords-urbanization;财政政策;VAR模型
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