Green Economy Evaluation of EOR Projects in Borneo Field: Case of CO2 Injection vs Chemical Injection

I. M. Agusyasa, Y. Nainggolan
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Abstract

PT Borneo Petroleum Company (BPC) as one of the biggest oil and gas company in Indonesia is planning to perform Enhanced Oil Recovery in Borneo Field. It is considering performing chemical injection (CEOR) or CO2 injection. As CO2 injection requires bigger capital investment than CEOR, it becomes less favorable. However, as the campaign for Net Zero Emissions surges and the planning from the government to implement the carbon tax in Indonesia, the company must revisit the economic evaluation of the projects by introducing carbon tax in the calculation. This research uses capital budgeting techniques in evaluating the projects. It is also used to evaluate the impact of green economy implementation to the project valuation. It needs to show whether the projects are feasible with conventional capital budgeting and with green budgeting. The expected finding is that the economic value of CO2 injection will improve significantly and will make it more attractive than CEOR. This study assumes that the carbon tax applied in Indonesia is at US $ 5.25 per ton CO2-equivalent. The CO2 injected is constant at 8.5 MSm3/d. It is also assumed that BPC is adopting the same capital structure as its parent company. The emissions associated with the project is calculated as the function of production rates. The project’s profitability is based on the Net Present Value, Internal Rate of Return, Profitability Index, and Payback Period. Sensitivity analysis is also performed to explore the variables which give significant impact to the project valuation. Monte Carlo simulation is also performed to test all possible scenarios and its impact to the NPV. It is found that the impact of carbon tax is not significant to the economic value, in contrary the potential for additional incentive in terms of Result Based Payment for Carbon Capture Utilization and Storage has significant impact to the economic value of the project. The result is used to make decision on which EOR method to be applied which create more value to the company in terms of economic and sustainability.
Borneo油田EOR项目的绿色经济评价:以CO2注入与化学注入为例
PT Borneo Petroleum Company (BPC)是印度尼西亚最大的石油和天然气公司之一,计划在Borneo油田实施提高石油采收率。该公司正在考虑进行化学注入(CEOR)或二氧化碳注入。由于CO2注入比CEOR需要更大的资金投入,因此对其不利。然而,随着净零排放运动的激增和印尼政府实施碳税的计划,该公司必须通过在计算中引入碳税来重新审视项目的经济评估。本研究采用资本预算技术对项目进行评估。它还用于评估绿色经济实施对项目估值的影响。需要证明项目在传统的资本预算和绿色预算下是否可行。预期的结果是,二氧化碳注入的经济价值将显著提高,并将使其比CEOR更具吸引力。本研究假设印尼征收的碳税为每吨二氧化碳当量5.25美元。注入的二氧化碳恒定在8.5 MSm3/d。我们还假设BPC采用与其母公司相同的资本结构。与项目有关的排放是作为生产率的函数来计算的。项目的盈利能力基于净现值、内部收益率、盈利能力指数和投资回收期。敏感性分析也进行了探索,给项目估值显著影响的变量。还进行了蒙特卡罗模拟,以测试所有可能的情况及其对净现值的影响。研究发现,碳税对经济价值的影响不显著,相反,基于结果的碳捕集利用与封存奖励机制的额外激励潜力对项目的经济价值有显著影响。该结果用于决定采用哪种提高采收率方法,从而在经济和可持续性方面为公司创造更多价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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