Night Trading with Futures in China: The Case of Aluminum and Copper

Tony Klein, N. Todorova
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引用次数: 13

Abstract

We use high-frequency data to examine the effects of introducing an additional night trading session of four hours at the Shanghai Futures Exchange for Copper and Aluminum futures in December 2013. This additional trading session is shown to cause a structural break in the intraday behavior of prices. For Copper, the realized volatility of the regular session is endogenously determined while the night session is strongly driven by the immediately preceding realized volatility of the LME. In contrast, there is only little evidence for a directional spillover from the LME to SHFE for Aluminum futures. We find no indications that the SHFE is pulling volume from LME with the additional trading at night. Last, the now existing break between the day-time session and the night trading session is found to have significant informational content for Copper and Aluminum volatility and needs to be treated separately when extracting jump components from realized volatility.
中国期货的夜间交易:以铝和铜为例
我们使用高频数据来检验2013年12月在上海期货交易所为铜和铝期货引入额外的四小时夜间交易时段的影响。这个额外的交易时段被证明会导致盘中价格行为的结构性突破。对于铜而言,常规交易时段的已实现波动率是内生决定的,而夜间交易时段则受到LME之前的已实现波动率的强烈驱动。相比之下,几乎没有证据表明铝期货从LME向上海期货交易所的定向溢出。我们没有发现任何迹象表明,上海期货交易所正在通过夜间额外交易从LME拉动交易量。最后,发现目前存在的白天和夜间交易时段之间的突破对铜和铝的波动率具有重要的信息含量,需要在从实现波动率中提取跳跃分量时单独处理。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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