Advanced Sultanism: A Broader Debate

Christopher M. Davidson
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Abstract

The second of two summary discussions, this chapter firstly assesses the likely longevity and stability of MBS and MBZ’s ‘advanced sultanates’. In particular, it notes their apparent strength, while also considering possible dangers they may face alongside some of the more peaceful forms of activity that could also result in regime change. Secondly, it contemplates the possibilities for such advanced sultanism to replicate elsewhere in the world. In particular, it notes that replication may prove difficult (though not impossible) in other contemporary sultanates given their lack of rentier state legacies and poorer access to advanced economies and consultants Nonetheless, it notes that MBS and MBZ may seek to promote—or perhaps diffuse—repressive aspects of their regimes elsewhere in the region, especially if Saudi and UAE diplomatic support and economic aid can be tied to the adoption of MBS and MBZ’s signature policies. Finally, the chapter discusses the relevance of MBS and MBZ’s advanced sultanism to several broader issues, including: the debate on Islam’s supposed incompatibility with capitalism (which their regimes seem to contradict); the prospects for modernization theory (which their regimes also seem to contradict); and--more philosophically--the extent which their regimes may complicate global intellectual support for monarchy.
高级苏丹主义:更广泛的辩论
作为两个总结讨论的第二部分,本章首先评估了MBS和MBZ的“高级苏丹国”的可能寿命和稳定性。报告特别指出了他们明显的实力,同时也考虑到他们可能面临的危险,以及一些更和平的活动形式,这些活动也可能导致政权更迭。其次,它考虑了这种先进的苏丹主义在世界其他地方复制的可能性。特别是,它指出,由于其他当代苏丹国缺乏食利者国家遗产,难以接触到发达经济体和顾问,因此复制这种做法可能会很困难(尽管并非不可能)。尽管如此,它指出,MBS和MBZ可能会寻求在该地区其他地方推广或传播其政权的压制性方面,特别是如果沙特和阿联酋的外交支持和经济援助可以与采用MBS和MBZ的标志性政策联系在一起。最后,本章讨论了MBS和MBZ先进的苏丹主义与几个更广泛问题的相关性,包括:关于伊斯兰教与资本主义不相容的辩论(他们的政权似乎与资本主义相矛盾);现代化理论的前景(他们的政权似乎也与之相矛盾);从更哲学的角度来看,他们的政权可能会使全球对君主制的智力支持复杂化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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