Analisis Kestabilan pada Model Matematika Deradikalisasi

Wimbo Fari Suilo, Lukita Ambarwati, Eti Dwi Wiraningsih
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Abstract

Radicalization is a process by which individuals adopt political, social, and religious ideologies that lead to violence. Violent behavior in the radicalization process is the reason that radicalism is considered the cause of acts of terrorism. Therefore, to reduce this radicalization process, a deradicalization program is carried out. Deradicalization is an attempt to persuade adherents of radicalism to leave this notion. In order to determine the level of spread of radicalization, a mathematical model of deradicalization was made. The model consists of four compartments, namely, Susceptible, Extrimist, Recruiters, and Treatment. The model is analyzed by determining the equilibrium point and determining the base reproduction number ( ℜ0). If ℜ0<1 then the system will be locally asymptotically stable, and if  ℜ0>1 then the system will be unstable. The simulation is carried out with the data that has been obtained, with the individual displacement parameters from the Extrimist compartment to the Treatment compartment with a value of 0.05 and the individual displacement from the Recruiters compartment to the Treatment compartment with a value of 0.165, simulation results show a graph that is stable to the point of endemic equilibrium. Meanwhile, if the value of individual displacement from the Extrimist and Recruiters compartments to the Treatment compartment is 0.5, the simulation results show that the graph gradually goes to zero.
反歧视数学模型的稳定性分析
激进化是指个人接受导致暴力的政治、社会和宗教意识形态的过程。激进化过程中的暴力行为是激进主义被认为是恐怖主义行为起因的原因。因此,为了减少这种激进化进程,我们实施了一项去激进化计划。去极端化是试图说服激进主义的追随者放弃这种观念。为了确定激进化的传播程度,建立了一个去激进化的数学模型。该模型由四个部分组成,即易感者、极端者、招募者和治疗者。通过确定平衡点和确定基本复制数来分析模型。如果是01那么系统将不稳定。利用已获得的数据进行模拟,从极端分子室到治疗室的个体位移参数值为0.05,从招募者室到治疗室的个体位移参数值为0.165,模拟结果显示出一个稳定到地方性平衡点的图形。同时,当个体从极端分子和招聘者的隔间向治疗隔间的位移值为0.5时,仿真结果显示图形逐渐趋近于零。
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