Application of Deep Learning in Stock Market Valuation Index Forecasting

Ge Li, Ming Xiao, Ying Guo
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引用次数: 7

Abstract

Deep learning is the core technology of artificial intelligence, which has higher accuracy than traditional algorithms. The characteristics of high-risk and high-yield in stock market make investors hope to make predictions on it through scientific methods, so as to reduce investment risks. Long short-term memory (LSTM) model in deep learning can effectively describe the long memory of data and is suitable for predicting financial time series. Therefore, this paper uses LSTM model in deep learning to learn and forecast the stock market valuation indicator, price-earnings ratio (P/E ratio). Then the prediction bias is measured by forecast trend accuracy (FTA), average forecast deviation rate (AFDR), and root mean square error (RMSE). Empirical results show that LSTM model has a good predictive effect on P/E ratio sequence, indicating that there is practical research value for applying deep learning network algorithm to the field of stock market forecasting. At the same time, this paper also provides a reference for stock market investors.
深度学习在股票市场估值指标预测中的应用
深度学习是人工智能的核心技术,具有比传统算法更高的准确率。股票市场高风险、高收益的特点使投资者希望通过科学的方法对其进行预测,从而降低投资风险。深度学习中的长短期记忆(LSTM)模型能够有效地描述数据的长期记忆,适合于金融时间序列的预测。因此,本文采用深度学习中的LSTM模型对股市估值指标市盈率(P/E ratio)进行学习和预测。然后用预测趋势精度(FTA)、平均预测偏差率(AFDR)和均方根误差(RMSE)来衡量预测偏差。实证结果表明,LSTM模型对市盈率序列具有较好的预测效果,表明深度学习网络算法应用于股市预测领域具有实际研究价值。同时,本文也为股票市场的投资者提供了参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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