Development and Comparison of Freight Distribution Models of Inland Water Transport along Yangtze River Economic Belt with Ship Visa Data

Guihua Deng, M. Zhong, J. Hunt, Yiming Zhang, Z. Ren, Junda Huang
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Abstract

The Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) serves as the main east-west axis of the economic development of China. Studying the characteristics of the Yangtze River on waterway freight transportation plays a significant role in propelling the development of the Yangtze River transport network and releasing the transport potential of the Yangtze River. In this study, the data of ship visa in 2010 were used to conduct the OD matrices of different freight types. Then, freight desire lines of the YREB were drawn in TransCAD according to the OD matrices acquired. In addition, the freight relations and characteristics of each port and three economic circles in the YREB were analyzed. After that, this paper applies the freight distribution models such as gravity distribution models and the intervening opportunity models to analyze the distribution of coal and its products, steel and nonferrous metals respectively. In particular, the impedance function of the gravity distribution model include the inverse power function, the exponential function and the gamma function, then their parameters were calibrated. Finally, the value of Average Trip Length (ATL) and Trip Length Frequency Distribution (TLFD) were measured and compared with the value calculated, then the results indicated that the gravity distribution model based on an inverse power function was higher than the Intervening Opportunity (IO) models in the coincidence ratio, and the freight distribution matches this in the reality.
基于船舶签证数据的长江经济带内河运输货运量分布模型开发与比较
长江经济带是中国经济发展的东西向主轴。研究长江水路货运的特点,对于推动长江运输网的发展,释放长江运输潜力具有重要意义。本研究采用2010年船舶签证数据进行不同货运类型的OD矩阵。然后,根据得到的OD矩阵,在TransCAD中绘制YREB的货运欲望线。此外,还分析了长江经济带各港口与三大经济圈之间的货运关系及特点。然后分别运用重力分布模型和介入机会模型等货运分布模型对煤炭及其制品、钢铁和有色金属的配送进行了分析。其中,重力分布模型的阻抗函数包括反幂函数、指数函数和伽马函数,并对其参数进行了标定。最后,对平均行程长度(ATL)和行程长度频率分布(TLFD)进行了实测,并与计算值进行了比较,结果表明,基于逆幂函数的重力分布模型在重合率上高于干预机会(IO)模型,货运分布与实际相符。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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