Pendekatan Rasio Fibonacci Dan Fuzzy Logic Sebagai Analisis Teknikal Dalam Menentukan Keputusan Investasi Saham

Dewi Ratiwi Meiliza, B. Prasojo
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Abstract

One form of approach used to analyze stock prices is by applying Fibonacci ratios and Fuzzy Logic analysis. The purpose of this study is (1) to apply the Fibonacci ratio approach to determine stock support and resistance levels in food and beverage sub-sector companies on the IDX, (2) to apply fuzzy logic analysis based on support and resistance levels with the Fibonacci ratio approach to sub company the food and beverage sector on the IDX, (3) to provide investment decision recommendations in the form of linguistic information on stock price movements in the food and beverage sub-sector companies on the IDX. The research design used in this study is a case study of the price movements of ten shares in the food and beverage sub-sector companies on the Stock Exchange. Researchers used a research design with secondary data. Furthermore, stock price movement data were analyzed using a merging analysis approach with Fibonacci ratios and fuzzy logic analysis with fuzzy systems so that an investment decision recommen- dation was obtained in the form of linguistic information. Based on the results of the study showed that technical analysis of stock price move- ments using Fibonacci ratios and fuzzy logic analysis can be used properly. Furthermore, the results of this linguistic information can be utilized by investors who do not own shares and who already have shares, but the results of this data analysis are not absolute and must be adjusted to the conditions in their application.
斐波那契数比和模糊逻辑的方法作为对股票投资决策的技术分析
分析股票价格的一种方法是运用斐波那契比率和模糊逻辑分析。本研究的目的是:(1)应用斐波那契比率法确定IDX上餐饮板块公司股票的支撑和阻力水平;(2)应用基于支撑和阻力水平的模糊逻辑分析和斐波那契比率法对IDX上餐饮板块的子公司进行分析。(3)以语言信息的形式提供投资决策建议,以了解食品和饮料细分行业公司在IDX上的股价走势。本研究中使用的研究设计是对证券交易所食品和饮料分行业公司的十个股票的价格变动进行案例研究。研究人员采用了辅助数据的研究设计。在此基础上,利用斐波那契比率的合并分析方法和模糊系统的模糊逻辑分析方法对股票价格变动数据进行分析,以语言信息的形式给出投资决策建议。研究结果表明,利用斐波那契比率和模糊逻辑分析方法对股票价格走势进行技术分析是可行的。此外,这种语言信息的结果可以被不拥有股票和已经拥有股票的投资者使用,但这种数据分析的结果不是绝对的,必须根据其应用的条件进行调整。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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