Metal and Mineral Mining Firm’s Equity Valuation in Indonesia Stock Exchange

Md Musleh Uddin Hasan, R. Hendrawan
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Abstract

: The purpose of this research is to estimate the intrinsic values of the shares on the metal and mineral mining companies listed in IDX 2018 using Discounted Cash Flow - Free Cash Flow to Firm method and verifies the results with the relative valuation - PER and PBV methods. The sample of this research is the dominant industry players ANTM, INCO, and TINS. The valuation baseline was the analysis of the financial statements of those companies in the period 2013-2017 which was considered as the reference for the projection years 2018-2022. This research involved three scenarios namely pessimistic, moderate and optimistic, and the reference market price was on January 2, 2018. The analysis concluded that using DCF-FCFF the stock’s price of ANTM was undervalued in all scenarios, while INCO and TINS were overvalued in all scenarios. The PER and PBV analysis found that all evaluated stocks within the industry range that mean the valuation result is correct. Hence, the conclusion of this research is to buy ANTM stocks and to sell INCO and TINS stocks.
印尼证券交易所金属矿产公司的股权估值
本研究的目的是使用贴现现金流-企业自由现金流方法估计IDX 2018中上市的金属和矿产矿业公司股票的内在价值,并使用相对估值- PER和PBV方法验证结果。本研究的样本是占主导地位的行业参与者ANTM, INCO和TINS。估值基线是对这些公司2013-2017年期间的财务报表的分析,被认为是2018-2022年预测年的参考。本研究涉及悲观、温和、乐观三种情景,参考市场价格为2018年1月2日。分析结果表明,使用DCF-FCFF,在所有情景下,ANTM的股价都被低估,而INCO和TINS的股价在所有情景下都被高估。PER和PBV分析发现,所有被评估的股票都在行业范围内,意味着估值结果是正确的。因此,本研究的结论是买入ANTM股票,卖出INCO和TINS股票。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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