Impact of Non-Oil Export on Economic Growth in Iraq: An Application of the Bound Test Approach

Hawnaz Omer Muhammad
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Abstract

The crucial role of non-oil exports in promoting job creations, investments, productions and even infrastructure improvements is well established in the literature, in Iraq, despite the abundant of non-oil resources, non-oil exports accounts for less than 10 percent of total export receipts. This paper aims to examine the impact of non-oil exports on economic growth in Iraq by employing the ARDL model to investigate the long and short-run effects of non-oil exports on Iraq’s GDP. To do so, the annual data of GDP, non-oil exports of manufacture, food and agricultural products, and exchange rates have been collected from World Trade Organization and World Bank from (2003- 2020). The results reveal a significant impact of non-oil exports on economic growth in both the long and short run. It’s recommended for governments and policymakers that promoting non-oil exports and diversifying Iraq’s economy is paramount for faster economic growth, greater job creation, and less economic volatility.
非石油出口对伊拉克经济增长的影响:约束检验方法的应用
非石油出口在促进就业创造、投资、生产甚至基础设施改善方面的关键作用在文献中得到了很好的证实。在伊拉克,尽管非石油资源丰富,但非石油出口占出口总收入的比例不到10%。本文旨在通过运用ARDL模型考察非石油出口对伊拉克GDP的长期和短期影响,来检验非石油出口对伊拉克经济增长的影响。为此,从世界贸易组织(wto)和世界银行(World Bank)收集了2003年至2020年的国内生产总值(GDP)、制造业非石油出口、食品和农产品、汇率等年度数据。结果表明,非石油出口对经济增长的长期和短期影响显著。政府和政策制定者建议,促进非石油出口和伊拉克经济多样化对于加快经济增长、创造更多就业机会和减少经济波动至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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