Improving Fitness-for-Purpose Methodology and Safety Target Definitions on Geohazard Related Pipe Deformation

N. Yoosef-Ghodsi, Kurt Baraniecki, Mike Hill, Yvan Hubert
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Abstract

Previous practices at Enbridge Pipelines Inc. regarding allowable deformation and/or strain in pipelines were closely mirrored to current North American standards and did not effectively manage the time dependent aspect of active slope movement and other similar progressive external force phenomena applied to a pipeline. In addition, variability in soil spring values and/or soil displacements utilized in FEA assessments can lead to significant variability between predicted pipeline strain demand and actual conditions. Furthermore, the risk tolerance of a potential and significant deformation that could impact the serviceability of one pipeline in a Right of Way (ROW) including multiple pipelines was not well defined. Shutting down several pipelines in a ROW until it could be proven that they are fit-for-service is time consuming. In addition, it requires a good amount of engineering work to address the significant uncertainty in confirming if a pipeline has not deformed beyond a safe limit when the latest deformation in-line inspection predates significant soil movement. A better tool was required to allow a more precise assessment. A better fitness-for-purpose approach has been developed and used to both predict when a timely repair would be required and conservatively set the In-line Inspection (ILI) re-inspection interval to monitor the condition of the pipe. This approach allowed to step away from the greater uncertainty associated with understanding the impact of soil movement on the pipe integrity. This paper presents the methodology used by Enbridge to redefine its fitness-for-purpose methodology using proven strain-deformation correlation models and strain rates estimated through multiple arrays of strain gauges. The discussion will include how the safety targets were re-engineered to account for multiple pipelines in a ROW.
改进与地质灾害有关的管道变形的适用性方法和安全目标定义
Enbridge Pipelines Inc.之前关于管道允许变形和/或应变的做法与当前的北美标准密切相关,并且没有有效地管理主动斜坡运动的时间依赖性方面以及应用于管道的其他类似渐进外力现象。此外,FEA评估中使用的土壤弹簧值和/或土壤位移的可变性可能导致预测管道应变需求与实际情况之间的显著差异。此外,对于可能影响一条管道(包括多条管道)通行权(Right of Way, ROW)中的一条管道的使用能力的潜在重大变形,其风险承受能力也没有得到很好的定义。连续关闭几条管道,直到可以证明它们适合使用是非常耗时的。此外,当最新的变形在线检查早于重大的土壤移动时,需要大量的工程工作来解决在确认管道是否变形超过安全限制方面的重大不确定性。需要一种更好的工具来进行更精确的评估。开发了一种更好的适用性方法,用于预测何时需要及时维修,并保守地设置在线检查(ILI)复检间隔,以监测管道的状况。这种方法可以避免与了解土壤运动对管道完整性的影响相关的更大的不确定性。本文介绍了Enbridge使用经过验证的应变-变形相关模型和通过多个应变片阵列估计的应变率来重新定义其适用性方法的方法。讨论将包括如何重新设计安全目标,以考虑ROW中的多条管道。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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