Modeling and Analyzing the Multi-Information Network Propagation Dynamics on Hot Events

Yuwei She, Xinyi Jiang, Changyi Wu, Fulian Yin
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Abstract

As the largest online social platform in China, Weibo enables users to freely access and share information, and plays an important role in the dissemination of public opinion. The hot topics on Weibo include multiple pieces of information, the dissemination of which is not an isolated process but affects each other. In consideration of the problem of unclear multi-information propagation rules and insufficient analysis of factors influencing public opinion in real networks, this paper analyzes the multi-information delayed transmission scenario in complex network environments and constructs the Multiple-Information Delay-transmission Susceptible-Forwarding-Immune (MD-SFIFI) model considering the situation that the first message of a hot event has a certain time interval from the release of other messages. Data fitting is conducted to prove the validity of our model. This paper realizes the study of multi-information dissemination law by analyzing the correlation between parameters and information dissemination indicators, and summarizes the multi-information dissemination law, aiming to provide theoretical and data support for the decision making and research of government public opinion response and governance.
热点事件下多信息网络传播动力学建模与分析
微博作为中国最大的网络社交平台,让用户可以自由获取和分享信息,在舆论传播中发挥着重要作用。微博上的热点话题包含了多条信息,这些信息的传播不是一个孤立的过程,而是相互影响的。针对现实网络中多信息传播规则不清晰、舆情影响因素分析不足的问题,分析了复杂网络环境下的多信息延迟传播场景,考虑热点事件的第一条消息与其他消息的发布有一定的时间间隔,构建了多信息延迟传播敏感-转发-免疫(MD-SFIFI)模型。通过数据拟合验证了模型的有效性。本文通过分析参数与信息传播指标之间的相关性,实现对多元信息传播规律的研究,并对多元信息传播规律进行归纳总结,旨在为政府舆情响应与治理的决策与研究提供理论和数据支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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