IMPLEMENTASI GATED RECURRENT UNIT (GRU) UNTUK PREDIKSI HARGA SAHAM BANK KONVENSIONAL DI INDONESIA

S. Samsudin, Aninda Muliani Harahap, Sandra Fitrie
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Abstract

Advances in technology, information and technology at this time are growing rapidly, a lot of human work is facilitated by technology. Technology has also developed in investment instruments, especially in stock investments. Previously, when there was no technology, it would be very difficult to predict the stock price of state-owned banks in the future for ordinary people who do not understand fundamental or technical analysis. However, with technology, especially in the field of Deep Learning, it will be very possible to predict future stock prices without having to understand fundamental or technical analysis. In this study, stock price predictions of state-owned banks for the next 30 days were made using the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) model on stocks of state-owned banks in Indonesia, namely BRI, BNI, BTPN, and Mandiri bank shares. The data used uses historical close price data on the stock for 5 years with a total of 1260 data. From the results of the research for test data, the smallest RMSE value was found in BTPN bank shares of 23,91164 followed by BRI bank shares of 264,1475, BNI bank of 427,7984 and the largest RMSE value in BMRI bank shares amounting to 907,4804
技术的进步,信息和技术在这个时候发展迅速,人类的很多工作都是通过技术来方便的。技术在投资工具方面也有了发展,特别是在股票投资方面。以前,在没有技术的情况下,对于不懂基本面或技术分析的普通人来说,预测国有银行未来的股价是非常困难的。然而,随着技术的发展,特别是在深度学习领域,无需了解基本面或技术分析就可以预测未来的股票价格。本研究采用GRU模型对印尼国有银行股票,即BRI、BNI、BTPN和Mandiri银行股票进行了未来30天的国有银行股价预测。使用的数据使用该股票5年的历史收盘价数据,共有1260个数据。从对测试数据的研究结果来看,RMSE值最小的是BTPN银行股,为2391164,其次是BRI银行股,为264,1475,BNI银行股为427,7984,最大的RMSE值是BMRI银行股,为907,4804
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