PERHITUNGAN ENERGI SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC DI WILAYAH KABUPATEN NIAS DAN KABUPATEN MENTAWAI DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE PROBABILISTIK

Boy Harefa, B. Widodo, Stepanus Stepanus, Robinson Purba
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Abstract

This paper discusess the calculation of solar photovoltaic energy using a probabilistic approach in Nias and Mentawai districts. The application used is the @RISK Risk Analysis Project Model. In this research, the calculated random variable is the average temperature, the length of sunshine per month and solar radiation according to the regional zone. These three variables are fluctuating, so that the approach of each varianble uses a uniform distirbution function. From the three variables, it can be calculated that the energy generated by solar photovoltaic with a capacity of 100 Wp in Nias Regency is 21.062,57 kWh in one year with a probability of 55% and a capacity factor of 24,04%. Meanwhile, in Mentawai District, the same solar photovoltaic capacity of 100 Wp produces 19.249,47 kWh of energy with a probability of 50% and a capacity factor of 21,97%. From the results of this study it can be seen that the average temperature, duration  of solar radiation and solar radiation can determine the electrical energy that can be generated by solar radiation can determine the electrical energy that can be generated by solar photovoltaic
本文讨论了用概率方法计算尼亚斯和明打威地区的太阳能光伏发电。使用的应用程序是@RISK风险分析项目模型。在本研究中,根据区域计算的随机变量为平均气温、月日照长度和太阳辐射。这三个变量是波动的,因此每个变量的方法使用均匀分布函数。由这三个变量可以计算出,Nias Regency容量为100 Wp的太阳能光伏发电一年发电量为21.062,57 kWh,概率为55%,容量系数为24.04%。与此同时,在明打威地区,相同的100 Wp太阳能光伏发电容量产生19.249,47千瓦时的能量,概率为50%,容量系数为21.97%。从本研究的结果可以看出,平均温度、太阳辐射持续时间和太阳辐射可以决定太阳辐射可以产生的电能,可以决定太阳能光伏可以产生的电能
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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