Excessive co-movement effect and evolution network analysis of Chinese stock market

Shang Zhen, Qinxin Wu, Xiong Wang
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

In order to better understand mutual influences among stock price fluctuations, we treat stocks on the market as nodes, collecting closing price data of The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index from 2014 to 2016. And we use the partial correlation coefficient to measure the linkage effect between stocks. Specifically, through the selection of a certain threshold, we get a financial complex network with stock linkage effect. Furthermore, we use Newman Fast analysis algorithm to divide Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index network into 15 communities. It turns out that the correlation within the community is significantly closer than the correlation between the community and the outside community, which is called close price-fluctuating plate. Moreover, through the time division that is used to analyze the structure of stock network community, we may conclude that banks, securities and real estate stocks' prices are basically a synchronous change during this period. And there are also some stocks which have excessive co-movement effect changes asynchronously. The results of our work can not only provide inner information and linkage on the stock market capital flows, but also can explore the evolution of the stock market rules.
中国股票市场过度联运效应与演化网络分析
为了更好地理解股价波动之间的相互影响,我们将市场上的股票作为节点,收集了2014 - 2016年沪深300指数的收盘价格数据。我们用偏相关系数来衡量股票之间的联动效应。具体来说,通过选择一定的阈值,得到一个具有股票联动效应的金融复杂网络。此外,我们使用纽曼快速分析算法将沪深300指数网络划分为15个社区。结果表明,群落内部的相关性要明显接近于群落与外部的相关性,这种相关性被称为紧密的价格波动板块。此外,通过对股票网络社区结构的时间划分分析,我们可以得出银行、证券和房地产股票价格在此期间基本是同步变化的结论。同时也有一些股票具有过多的联运效应,它们的变化是异步的。我们的研究结果不仅可以提供股票市场资本流动的内部信息和联系,而且可以探索股票市场规律的演变。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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