Analysis of workday losses due to falls from scaffoldings in the construction industry

Kemal Dirgen Tözer, G. E. Gürcanlı, Zalihe Yarkıner
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

The study aims to build a model for workday losses due to scaffolding accidents at construction sites to know information about the worker and the accident, and subsequently use the model for prediction, process optimization, or process control. The accident investigations from the archive of the Labour Office were searched and ongoing construction sites in North Cyprus were visited. Descriptive statistics were used to classify the full archival and inferential statistics were carried out to construct a statistical model using multiple linear regression (MLR) analysis to predict future workday losses furthermore binary logistic regression (BLR) model was carried out to identify whether the workday loss is considered to be a major workday loss or not. MLR model revealed that a 4.5-fold increase in workdays lost for each additional 1 meter of fall height and one year increase in workers’ age will increase the workday losses by 1.3 days. Additionally, the BLR model concluded that when the age of the victim increased by one unit, victims are 1.068 times more likely to have a major workday loss, and similarly, when the height of falling increases by one unit, victims are 1.735 more likely to have a major workday loss.
建筑行业因脚手架坠落造成的工作日损失分析
本研究旨在建立建筑工地脚手架事故造成的工作日损失模型,以了解工人和事故的信息,并随后使用该模型进行预测,流程优化或过程控制。查阅了劳工局档案中的事故调查资料,并访问了北塞浦路斯正在进行的建筑工地。采用描述性统计对全部档案进行分类,采用推理统计构建统计模型,采用多元线性回归(MLR)分析预测未来工作日损失,并采用二元逻辑回归(BLR)模型确定工作日损失是否被认为是主要工作日损失。MLR模型显示,跌落高度每增加1米,工人年龄每增加1年,工作日损失增加4.5倍,工作日损失将增加1.3天。此外,BLR模型得出的结论是,当受害者的年龄增加一个单位时,受害者遭受重大工作日损失的可能性增加1.068倍,同样,当坠落高度增加一个单位时,受害者遭受重大工作日损失的可能性增加1.735倍。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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