Analysis of The Spatial and Temporal Distribution Patterns of Rainfall in Shenzhen

Hang Yao, Donghui Wan, Yunqiu Shi, Xinqiao Zheng, Hualong Ding, Hao Chen
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Abstract

The differences in the spatial and temporal distribution of urban rainfall are related to the deployment of urban flood control and disaster mitigation. In this paper, Shenzhen city is taken as the study area. We use Mann-Kendall trend test method, wavelet analysis method and R/S method to explore the trend, cycle characteristics and persistence of annual rainfall, number of rainfall days and daily maximum rainfall in different areas of Shenzhen. The results show that the overall trend of annual rainfall in Shenzhen is not significant, and the spatial distribution of annual rainfall in the city will gradually form a decreasing pattern from east to west. The number of rainfall days in Shenzhen do not changed significantly with a variation of $2.7\sim 6.1$ d/10a, and the future the number of rainfall days may form a spatial distribution of more in the southeast and less in the northwest. The daily maximum rainfall variation in Shenzhen is $5.4\sim 12.2$ mm/10a. The future spatial distribution of daily maximum rainfall will maintain the situation of more in the southeast and less in the northwest, but the difference between the daily maximum rainfall in Dapeng and other areas will continue to become larger.
深圳市降水时空分布格局分析
城市降雨的时空分布差异与城市防洪减灾的部署有关。本文以深圳市为研究区域。利用Mann-Kendall趋势检验方法、小波分析方法和R/S方法,探讨了深圳不同地区年降雨量、降雨日数和日最大降雨量的变化趋势、周期特征和持续性。结果表明:深圳市年降水量总体趋势不显著,年降水量空间分布将逐渐形成自东向西递减的格局;深圳降水日数变化不显著,变化幅度为2.7 ~ 6.1 d/10a,未来降水日数可能形成东南多、西北少的空间分布格局。深圳的日最大降雨量变化为$5.4\sim 12.2$ mm/10a。未来日最大降雨量的空间分布将保持东南多西北少的态势,但大鹏地区日最大降雨量与其他地区的差异将继续变大。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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