The construction of drought disaster early warning model in apple orchard

Zhaoyang Yuan, Runze Wang, Dongjian Shen, Shu-han Cheng, Zhijun Wang
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Abstract

Aiming at the problem of drought disaster in apple orchards in China, using the meteorological data of 28 meteorological stations from 2011 to 2020, combining with the analysis of drought disaster in apple producing areas and the research status of drought index, the drought types and grades were divided; the concept of "k-month scale" is introduced to judge the drought disaster and grade degree by using the precipitation anomaly percentage of apple production. Combined with the future weather and precipitation forecast, the drought prediction and judgment of apple orchard are realized.
苹果园干旱灾害预警模型的构建
针对中国苹果园干旱灾害问题,利用2011 - 2020年28个气象站的气象资料,结合苹果产区干旱灾害分析和干旱指数研究现状,划分了干旱类型和干旱等级;引入“k月尺度”概念,利用苹果产量降水异常百分比来判断干旱灾害及其等级程度。结合未来天气和降水预报,实现了苹果园的干旱预测和判断。
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