Punctuated Change

Daniel A. Levinthal
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Abstract

The pace of change is a central question regarding evolutionary dynamics. Some management theorists have pointed to processes of punctuated change; however, it is argued here that such accounts have generally under-attended to the multi-level nature of these processes and in particular to the critical role of speciation. By recognizing the multi-level nature of these dynamics, we can reconcile our often conflicting sense of organizations and technologies as undergoing periods of rapid change, while still conforming to a gradualist perspective with regard to the underlying elements of organizational capabilities and technologies. This argument is developed to consider change processes in three different contexts: the pace of technological change, shifts in organizational strategy and capabilities, and changes in the scope of firms.
不时的变化
变化的速度是进化动力学的一个核心问题。一些管理理论家指出了间断变化的过程;然而,本文认为,这些解释通常没有充分考虑到这些过程的多层次性质,特别是物种形成的关键作用。通过认识到这些动态的多层次本质,我们可以调和我们对组织和技术的经常冲突的感觉,因为它们正在经历快速变化的时期,同时仍然符合关于组织能力和技术的潜在元素的渐进主义观点。这一论点的发展是为了考虑三种不同背景下的变革过程:技术变革的步伐,组织战略和能力的转变,以及公司范围的变化。
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