Financial Integration and the Correlation between International Debt and Equity Flows

Hewei Shen
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

This paper empirically documents a number of stylized facts of international debt and equity flows and theoretically investigates the roles of these two financial assets in international risk sharing. Using a data set of debt and equity flows since 1970 for a sample of 104 countries, I find that international debt and equity flows have become increasingly volatile in the past decades due to the increased world financial integration. In addition, there is a negative correlation between debt and equity flows and such negative correlation has become stronger over time. Using a simple two-country model with international capital flows, I show that negatively correlated debt and equity flows arise as two countries trade equity assets and bond to hedge against income uncertainties. The numerical analysis shows that the model can replicate the dynamics of the volatilities and correlation between debt and equity flows in the data as the financial integration progresses.
金融一体化与国际债务与权益流动的关系
本文实证地记录了国际债务和股权流动的一些风格化事实,并从理论上考察了这两种金融资产在国际风险分担中的作用。利用1970年以来104个国家的债务和股权流动数据集,我发现,由于世界金融一体化程度的提高,国际债务和股权流动在过去几十年变得越来越不稳定。此外,债务和权益流动之间存在负相关关系,而且这种负相关关系随着时间的推移变得越来越强。使用一个简单的两国国际资本流动模型,我表明,当两个国家交易股权资产和债券以对冲收入不确定性时,债务和股权流动就会出现负相关。数值分析表明,该模型可以复制数据中债务和权益流动之间的波动性和相关性随着财务整合的进展而变化的动态。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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