Detecting Future Terrorism Trend in India Using Clustering Analysis

Abstract

Terrorism is an unethical violent strategy to create fear among the public and pose a national threat. It affects the economic, social and political strata of a nation as a whole, which leads to disharmony among the citizens. The extent of devastation caused by terror activities ranges from conflicts among religious or political communities to loss of lives and property. According to the most recent report of 2016-17, India ranks third among the largest terror prone zones of the world, after Iraq and Afghanistan, leaving even Pakistan behind. As it is still a developing country, India must adopt much stronger barriers to terrorism as compared to the already developed countries, which are well equipped with arms, stricter government policies and are equipped with latest technologies. This study aims to track the percentage increase in terrorism over the past 46 years from 1970-2016 world-wide, the result of which will pave way for the need of curbing terrorism in India. The various regions affected by it at the present are identified. The data mining strategy also predicts those regions that are prone to becoming the next hubs of terrorist activities. This knowledge is essential to work towards averting them from any such mishap.