Dynamic-Static-based Spatiotemporal Multi-Graph Neural Networks for Passenger Flow Prediction

Jingyan Ma, Jingjing Gu, Qiang Zhou, Qiuhong Wang, Ming Sun
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Abstract

Various sensing and computing technologies have gradually outlined the future of the intelligent city. Passenger flow prediction of public transports has become an important task in Intelligent Transportation System (ITS), which is the prerequisite for traffic management and urban planning. There exist many methods based on deep learning for learning the spatiotemporal features from high non-linearity and complexity of traffic flows. However, they only utilize temporal correlation and static spatial correlation, such as geographical distance, which is insufficient in the mining of dynamic spatial correlation. In this paper, we propose the Dynamic-Static-based Spatiotemporal Multi-Graph Neural Networks model (DSSTMG) for predicting traffic passenger flows, which can concurrently incorporate the temporal and multiple static and dynamic spatial correlations. Firstly, we exploit the multiple static spatial correlations by multi-graph fusion convolution operator, including adjacent relation, station functional zone similarity and geographical distance. Secondly, we exploit the spatial dynamic correlations by calculating the similarity between the flow pattern of stations over a period of time, and build the dynamic spatial attention. Moreover, we use time attention and encoder-decoder architecture to capture temporal correlation. The experimental results on two realworld datasets show that the proposed DSSTMG outperforms state-of-the-art methods.
基于动态-静态的时空多图神经网络客流预测
各种传感和计算技术逐渐勾勒出智慧城市的未来。公共交通客流预测已成为智能交通系统(ITS)中的一项重要任务,是进行交通管理和城市规划的前提。目前已有许多基于深度学习的方法从交通流的高度非线性和复杂性中学习交通流的时空特征。然而,它们只利用了时间相关性和静态空间相关性,如地理距离,这在挖掘动态空间相关性方面是不够的。本文提出了一种基于动态-静态的时空多图神经网络模型(DSSTMG),该模型可以同时结合时空和多个静态和动态空间相关性进行交通客流预测。首先,利用多图融合卷积算子挖掘多个静态空间相关性,包括相邻关系、站点功能区相似度和地理距离;其次,通过计算一段时间内各站点流型之间的相似度,挖掘空间动态相关性,构建动态空间关注;此外,我们使用时间关注和编码器-解码器架构来捕获时间相关性。在两个真实数据集上的实验结果表明,所提出的DSSTMG优于目前最先进的方法。
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