One Approach to Forecasting Methodology in Rail Passenger Traffic

Abstract

Abstract –The paper presents a methodology for predicting the number of passengers on a line that is being modernized by increasing the existing speed to 160 km / h. The forecast was made for two scenarios: without project and with project. The process is complex and involves the application of correlation methods, growth rates, surveys, and heuristic forecasting models. Keywords –forecast, railway, heuristics, surveys.