The Psychological Roots of Public Opinion toward a Militant Group: The Case of Pakistani Lashkar-e-Tayyaba

Karl C. Kaltenthaler, C. C. Fair
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Abstract

This paper explores Pakistani public opinion toward the Lashkar-e-Tayyaba (LeT) (also known as Jamaat ul Dawa, or JuD), which is one of the most competent and lethal Pakistan-based and backed militant groups operating in India and elsewhere in South Asia. Building on the theory of significance quest, this study argues that Pakistanis who believe that the group will increase their own sense of personal significance are most likely to sympathize with the group. This study contends that the LeT, which is allied with the Pakistani state, should be most favorably viewed by those who look favorably on the political status quo in Pakistan, Punjabis, Ahl-e-Hadith adherents and women as these are the groups most likely to believe they gain status because of the LeT. Conversely, the LeT should be opposed by Shia, Barelvis, Deobandis, and Baloch Pakistanis, all groups that are disparaged by the LeT and thus see it as a threat to their status. Using data from a country-wide survey of 7, 653 Pakistanis carried out in 2013, these contentions are tested in a multiple regression analysis and are supported.
公众舆论对激进组织的心理根源:以巴基斯坦虔诚军为例
本文探讨了巴基斯坦公众对虔诚军(LeT)(也被称为达瓦慈善会,或JuD)的看法,这是巴基斯坦在印度和南亚其他地方活动的最具能力和杀伤力的武装组织之一。基于意义追求理论,本研究认为,相信团体会增加自己的个人意义感的巴基斯坦人最有可能同情团体。这项研究认为,与巴基斯坦政府结盟的虔诚军应该受到那些对巴基斯坦政治现状持乐观态度的人、旁遮普人、圣训信徒和妇女的最青睐,因为这些群体最有可能相信他们因为虔诚军而获得了地位。相反,虔诚军应该受到什叶派、巴雷维斯人、德奥班迪人和俾路支人的反对,这些群体都被虔诚军所轻视,因此认为它对他们的地位构成了威胁。利用2013年对7,653名巴基斯坦人进行的全国调查的数据,这些观点在多元回归分析中得到了检验和支持。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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