Thomas Jefferson Had Girls (a)

P. E. Pfeifer
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Abstract

The A and B cases are intended for undergraduate, MBA, executive education, and MBAExec audiences. They were used as an exam case for “Data Analysis and Optimization,” which is both a first- and second-year MBA elective. They were also used as the first class of an undergraduate business statistics class. The A case begins by explaining that Thomas Jefferson fathered five girls (and one stillborn son) and Randolph Jefferson (Thomas's brother) fathered six boys (and no girls). An author of a 2009 book used these facts to argue that Randolph is more likely the father of Eston Hemings (a boy born to Sally Hemings, who was one of Jefferson's slaves) because “some men have boys and others have girls.” Although 1998 DNA evidence suggested that a Jefferson had fathered Eston, the question remained as to which Jefferson. In the B case, data are provided on the gender and birth order of children from 700,030 Danish families. Students use those data to test the idea that “some men have boys and others have girls.”There is a supplemental Excel file for students (UVA-QA-0797X) that accompanies the B case. Excerpt UVA-QA-0752 Rev. Jul. 9, 2012 Thomas Jefferson Had Girls (A) Thomas Jefferson designed the tombstone that marked his grave at Monticello and left instructions that only the following and “not a word more” be inscribed thereon: HERE WAS BURIED THOMAS JEFFERSON AUTHOR OF THE DECLARATION OF AMERICAN INDEPENDENCE . . .
托马斯·杰斐逊有女儿(a)
A和B案例适用于本科生、MBA、高管教育和MBAExec的受众。他们被用作“数据分析与优化”的考试案例,这是MBA一年级和二年级的选修课。它们也被用作本科商业统计课的第一课。A案例一开始就解释了托马斯·杰斐逊生了五个女孩(和一个死胎儿子),而伦道夫·杰斐逊(托马斯的兄弟)生了六个男孩(没有女孩)。2009年一本书的作者用这些事实来论证伦道夫更有可能是埃斯顿·海明斯(埃斯顿·海明斯是杰斐逊的一个奴隶萨莉·海明斯生的一个男孩)的父亲,因为“有些男人生男孩,有些人生女孩。”尽管1998年的DNA证据表明,埃斯顿的父亲是杰弗逊家族的一个人,但究竟是哪个杰弗逊家族的人仍然是个问题。在B案例中,提供了关于700 030个丹麦家庭儿童性别和出生顺序的数据。学生们用这些数据来检验“有些男人生男孩,有些男人生女孩”的观点。有一个补充的Excel文件为学生(UVA-QA-0797X),随附B的情况。托马斯·杰斐逊为他在蒙蒂塞洛的坟墓设计了墓碑,并留下指示,只在墓碑上刻上以下文字:这里埋葬着托马斯·杰斐逊,美国独立宣言的作者……
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