Prediction and evaluation of traffic states at signalized intersections

Jiaming Shen, Qingjie Kong
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Abstract

The parallel transportation system based on the method of ACP (Artificial systems, Computing experiments, Parallel Control) will promote the level of city traffic intelligent decision and scientific management. A key problem in the system is how to design a computing experiment method to predict and evaluate the traffic state by real-time and accuracy. This paper introduces the discrete-time queuing model to analyze the traffic flow at the signalized intersection and gives the evaluation conditions of the traffic state. Then, the evaluation conditions are applied to judge the traffic state based on the prediction data of traffic flows from the grey model. Experiments show the method is effective and feasible.
信号交叉口交通状态预测与评价
基于ACP (Artificial systems, Computing experiments, parallel Control)方法的并行交通系统将提高城市交通智能决策和科学管理水平。系统的一个关键问题是如何设计一种计算实验方法来实时、准确地预测和评估交通状态。引入离散时间排队模型对信号交叉口交通流进行分析,给出了交叉口交通状态的评价条件。然后,根据灰色模型的交通流预测数据,应用评价条件对交通状态进行判断。实验证明了该方法的有效性和可行性。
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