China's Real Estate Price Inflation and the Expansion of Bank Credit

Lijun Zhang, Qiancheng Zhao
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Abstract

From a global point of view, real estate is the leading industry of the national economy; bank credit and the development of real estate industry have shown inextricable links. In recent years, the real estate price of some cities in China continues to rise rapidly. This article embarks from the relation between the development of the real estate industry and the bank credit, studies the mutual influence of China's real estate price inflation and the bank credit support, using qualitative and quantitative methods, and makes the reasonable judgments of China's real estate market. The result shows that China's real estate price rises fast under the push of the bank credit funds, while the real estate development is too dependent on the bank credit, if some link of the real estate industry gives rise to the problem, the banking industry will have the huge risk.
中国房地产价格通胀与银行信贷扩张
从全球范围来看,房地产业是国民经济的主导产业;银行信贷与房地产业的发展已经显示出密不可分的联系。近年来,中国一些城市的房地产价格持续快速上涨。本文从房地产业发展与银行信贷的关系出发,运用定性与定量相结合的方法,研究中国房地产价格上涨与银行信贷支持的相互影响,对中国房地产市场做出合理判断。结果表明,中国房地产价格在银行信贷资金的推动下快速上涨,而房地产开发过于依赖银行信贷,如果房地产行业的某个环节出现问题,银行业将面临巨大的风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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