Investment and the Stock of Capital

Andrew Smithers
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Abstract

Investment in intangibles does not increase the volume of the capital stock nor is it designed to do so. The aim is to increase the efficiency of tangible investment. The volume of the capital stock must therefore be represented by tangible capital; intangible assets such as those that arise from investment in research and development and other forms of intellectual products must be excluded. A large tax credit in the US for R&D was introduced in 1981. Before that private sector spending on IP averaged 12 per cent of total investment and has since risen to over 30 per cent. Over the same period TFP, as measured by either the consensus model or mine, has deteriorated, investment in R&D is either ineffective or mismeasured. Measuring the volume of capital exclusively in terms of tangible assets thus has the additional advantage of excluding data of dubious accuracy.
投资与资本存量
对无形资产的投资不会增加股本的数量,也不是为了增加股本而设计的。其目的是提高有形投资的效率。因此,股本的数量必须由有形资本来表示;无形资产,如研发投资和其他形式的智力产品所产生的无形资产,必须排除在外。1981年,美国出台了一项大规模的研发税收抵免政策。在此之前,私人部门在知识产权方面的支出平均占总投资的12%,此后已升至30%以上。在同一时期,无论是用共识模型还是我的模型衡量,全要素生产率(TFP)都在恶化,研发投资要么无效,要么被误判。因此,仅以有形资产来衡量资金量,还有一个额外的好处,就是可以排除那些准确性可疑的数据。
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