Providing an Empirical Insight into Nigeria’s Non-acceleration Rate of Unemployment

R. Edeme
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

Abstract This study was necessary since inflation and unemployment are twin macroeconomic variables that exert influence on the policy decision of any economy. Using time series from 1972 to 2015, the ordinary least-squares method was employed to determine both the short-run and long-run Phillips curve to ascertain if it is evident in Nigeria. The non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) was also estimated. The results establish the presence of a negative relationship of both inflation and unemployment in the short-run and long-run unemployment, though not significant. Since NAIRU is 11.63, the policy implication is that if the economy was to achieve full employment, an unemployment rate of 11.63 per cent is inevitable.
对尼日利亚非加速失业率的实证分析
通货膨胀和失业是影响任何经济体政策决策的双宏观经济变量,因此本文的研究是有必要的。利用1972 - 2015年的时间序列,采用普通最小二乘法确定短期和长期菲利普斯曲线,以确定该曲线在尼日利亚是否明显。对非加速通货膨胀失业率(NAIRU)也进行了估计。结果表明,通货膨胀与失业率在短期和长期失业率之间存在负相关关系,但并不显著。由于NAIRU为11.63,其政策含义是,如果经济要实现充分就业,11.63%的失业率是不可避免的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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