Bozkurt (Kastamonu-Türkiye) Taşkınına Morfometrik Yaklaşım

Vedat Avci̇, Ömer Ünsal
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the flood disaster that occurred in Kastamonu-Bozkurt in 2021 through the morphometric parameters of the basin. In the study, the Basin of Ezine Stream, which is the flood experienced most effectively, was analyzed together with the neighboring basins. Bozkurt flood is one of the most destructive floods in the history of Türkiye. As a result of the floods that occurred in Kastamonu and neighboring provinces on 10th - 12th August 2021, 82 people lost their lives. The Digital Elevation Model (DEM) of the study area was created with a cell size of 10*10 m using topography maps, and the boundaries of the basins to be analyzed with the ArcGIS-Archydro Module were determined. 30 indices were applied to these basins within the scope of shape (geometric), areal and relief morphometric features of the basins. The relationship between morphometric parameters was determined with the Pearson correlation coefficient. When the analysis results are evaluated for the Basin of Ezine Stream, it is the basin with the largest area, and the largest value of basin relief, relative relief and ruggedness. As a result, erosional activities and the risk of flood are high. When all basins are evaluated in general, it has been revealed that the shape of basins are more elongated, and the features of relief morphometry facilitate the formation of floods. Basin relief, relative relief, dissection degree, slope values, and average slope values are high for all basins; and both the amount of water added to the overland flow and the speed of the overland flow increased. This situation also increased the amount of material carried during the flood. Constructions built close to the stream bed increased the effect of the flood. Depending on the global climate change, the study area corresponds to the area where the change in daily maximum precipitation varies between 5-10%. Therefore, floods are likely to continue. For this reason, it is recommended to consider geometric, areal and relief morphometric features of the basins along with the climatic features of the basins while taking the necessary precautions. According to CORINE land cover data, urban areas in the Ezine Stream Basin increased by over 100% between 1990 and 2018, which is also affected by disastrous floods and overflows. Conservation and strengthening of natural vegetation in the study area will reduce the damage level of floods and overflows.
本研究旨在通过盆地形态计量参数分析2021年Kastamonu-Bozkurt发生的洪水灾害。在研究中,将经历洪水最有效的Ezine河流域与邻近的流域一起进行分析。博兹库尔特洪水是斯里兰卡历史上最具破坏性的洪水之一。由于2021年8月10日至12日在卡斯塔莫努和邻近省份发生的洪水,82人丧生。利用地形图建立研究区10*10 m单元格的数字高程模型(Digital Elevation Model, DEM),确定arcgis - archhydro模块分析的流域边界。在盆地形状(几何)、面积和地形特征的范围内,应用了30个指标对这些盆地进行了评价。形态计量学参数之间的关系用Pearson相关系数确定。在对分析结果进行评价时,Ezine河流域是面积最大的盆地,盆地起伏度、相对起伏度和崎岖度值最大。因此,侵蚀活动和洪水的风险很高。综合评价发现,盆地形状呈细长状,地形形态特征有利于洪水的形成。盆地起伏度、相对起伏度、解剖程度、坡度值和平均坡度值均较高;增加到地表水流的水量和地表水流的速度都增加了。这种情况也增加了洪水期间携带的物资数量。靠近河床的建筑增加了洪水的影响。根据全球气候变化的不同,研究区对应于日最大降水变化在5-10%之间的区域。因此,洪水可能会持续下去。因此,建议在采取必要的预防措施的同时,考虑盆地的几何、面积和地形地貌特征以及盆地的气候特征。根据CORINE土地覆盖数据,1990年至2018年间,Ezine河流域的城市面积增加了100%以上,同时也受到灾难性洪水和溢流的影响。保护和加强研究区内的自然植被将降低洪涝灾害的破坏程度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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