The Flying-Geese Theory

T. Ozawa
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Abstract

This chapter examines the ‘flying-geese’ (FG) theory first introduced by Japanese economist Kaname Akamatsu in the mid-1930s, arguing that it must be reformulated in the light of stepped-up globalization. It first provides an overview of the basic assumptions of the FG theory before discussing the role of multinational corporations as an instrument of catch-up and an endogenizer of growth in the world economy. It then analyses the ‘(double-helix) ladder of development à la Schumpeter’ that can capture and expand on Akamatsu’s ideas about the inter- and intra-structural changes and the evolutionary hierarchy of economies aligned at different growth stages. It also considers the Schumpeterian ladder-related, S-shaped growth trajectory along which economic development proceeds. Finally, it describes three rounds of national ecosystem reform needed to move sustainable growth forward: from low-income stagnation towards middle-income status; bypassing the middle-income trap towards high-income status; and escaping the ‘high-income (sclerosis) trap’.
大雁理论
本章考察了日本经济学家赤松Kaname Akamatsu在20世纪30年代中期首次提出的“雁行”(flying-geese, FG)理论,认为它必须根据全球化的加速而重新制定。它首先概述了FG理论的基本假设,然后讨论了跨国公司作为追赶工具和世界经济增长内生因素的作用。然后,它分析了“熊彼特的(双螺旋)发展阶梯”,可以捕捉和扩展赤松关于结构内部和结构内部变化以及不同增长阶段经济的进化等级的观点。它还考虑了熊彼特阶梯理论,即经济发展的s型增长轨迹。最后,它描述了推动可持续增长所需的三轮国家生态系统改革:从低收入停滞走向中等收入状态;跨越中等收入陷阱迈向高收入;摆脱“高收入(硬化症)陷阱”。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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