Research on the Number of Households and Population Estimates of Administrative Composite City

Young-Woo Nam, Chi-Hung Kwon, Jong-Lim Kim, Yong-Soon Kim
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Abstract

The Sejong Metropolitan Autonomous City is launched on July 1, 2012, and Phase 1 of the Multifunctional Administrative City Construction Project was completed in late 2015. Therefore, it is necessary through the results of the first phase of the project to check whether Sejong city can achieve the target population and number of households by 2030 and to use to determine the number and type of housing to be supplied next. Based on the presented results of the Phase 1 project period, this study estimate the population and number of households in 2030. For forecasting future population the population growth rate seen in the future of Sejong City's population forecast published by the National Statistical Office and the performance against plans Step 1 were used for forecasting future population. The results of analysis showed that the Multi-functional Administrative City is difficult to attract five hundred thousand people and two hundred thousand houses. In the analysis of households by type The Multi-functional Administrative City is The large proportion of 3-4 person households and high-income earners and Homeowners. But it increased the proportion of households with 1-2 people and rent house of the city grows in size and it is likely to change the level of income. Therefore, it is determined that there is a need to reflect these elements in next housing.
行政复合型城市户数与人口估算研究
世宗市将于2012年7月1日正式启动,行政中心综合城市建设事业将于2015年底完成第一期工程。因此,有必要通过第一期工程的结果,检验世宗市到2030年是否能实现人口和户数的目标,并以此为基础,确定接下来要供应的住宅数量和种类。根据第一阶段项目期间的现有结果,本研究估计了2030年的人口和家庭数量。预测未来人口时,采用了统计厅发表的“世宗市人口预测”中的未来人口增长率和第1阶段的计划执行情况。分析结果显示,行政多功能城市很难吸引50万人口和20万套住房。在按户型进行的分析中,行政多功能城市的户型以3-4人为主,高收入者和自有住房者所占比重较大。但它增加了1-2人家庭的比例,城市的出租房规模不断扩大,很可能会改变收入水平。因此,确定有必要在下一个住房中反映这些元素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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