The Effect of Political Uncertainty on Financial Flexibility and Firm Value

R. Gregory
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Abstract

[enter Abstract Body]Constructing a simple general equilibrium model, I examine the effect of local and international political uncertainty on financial flexibility and firm value. The model predicts that political uncertainty will have a negative effect on both. I then empirically examine the effects of political uncertainty on firms in the BRICs countries. I find that local political uncertainty has negative effects on financial flexibility, but not on firm value, while international political uncertainty has negative and larger effects on both. Part of the reason for this is that financial flexibility and long-term debt acts as a partial hedge to political uncertainty.
政治不确定性对财务灵活性和企业价值的影响
本文构建了一个简单的一般均衡模型,考察了本地和国际政治不确定性对财务灵活性和企业价值的影响。该模型预测,政治不确定性将对两者产生负面影响。然后,我实证地考察了政治不确定性对金砖国家企业的影响。我发现当地政治不确定性对财务灵活性有负面影响,但对企业价值没有负面影响,而国际政治不确定性对两者都有负面且更大的影响。出现这种情况的部分原因是,金融灵活性和长期债务可以部分对冲政治不确定性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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