Financing Options and Growth Rate of Real Estate Development Companies in Kenya

Geofrey Muturi Njoroge, J. Koori, Fredrick Warui
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Abstract

Financing decisions have been a challenge to real estate developers in Kenya. This is because, real estate investments are perceived to be capital intensive in nature. It is expected that real estate sector should develop in line with population increases which characterises most emerging economies. However, the provision of housing units per year is below the demand. In Nairobi region the demand for housing is 200,000 units per year while the actual production is estimated to be 50,000 units annually thus outlining a shortage of 150,000 units. Past studies indicate that where a robust financial market prevails, investors are able to access funds for investment projects. This current study seeks to establish the effect of financing option on real estate growth in Kenya.  The specific objectives were; to determine the effect of mortgage financing on growth rate of real estate development companies in Kenya, to find out the effect of retained earnings on growth rate of real estate development companies in Kenya, to establish the effect of private equity on growth rate of real estate development companies in Kenya, to determine the effect of joint venture on growth rate of real estate development companies in Kenya and  assess the moderating effect of firm size on relationship between financing options and growth rate of real estate development companies in Kenya. This study was be anchored by the following theories namely: lien theory of mortgages, pecking order theory, transaction costs theory, resource dependency theory and housing cycle theory. The target population of this study comprised of all the seventy-two companies who are members of the Kenya Property Developers Association (KPDA). The sample size comprised of twenty three companies which was thirty percent of the sample frame. The sample size was selected using simple random sampling design. This study used descriptive research design with a regression model with the regressor being real estate growth rate which was expressed in growth rates of housing units for each firm. Therefore, this study followed panel data analysis as individual firm data was collected for a time span of five years 2014 to 2018. Results showed that mortgage financing positively but insignificantly affected growth rates of real estate development companies in Kenya. Further results showed that retained earnings as source of financing option impaired significantly growth rates of real estate development companies. Private equity was found to improve growth rates of real estate development companies significantly.  Joint venture too positively but insignificantly influenced growth rates of real estate development companies in Kenya. Lastly, firm size was found to be a non-moderator but rather an explanatory variable and impaired growth rates in a significant manner. This study recommended that real estate development companies should increase use of private equity in financing housing projects as this increases growth rates of the entities.
肯尼亚房地产开发公司的融资选择和增长率
融资决策一直是肯尼亚房地产开发商面临的一个挑战。这是因为房地产投资在本质上被认为是资本密集型的。预计房地产行业的发展应与大多数新兴经济体的特征——人口增长保持一致。然而,每年提供的住房数量低于需求。在内罗毕区域,住房需求为每年20万套,而实际生产估计为每年5万套,因此短缺15万套。过去的研究表明,在金融市场活跃的地方,投资者能够获得投资项目的资金。本研究旨在确定融资选择对肯尼亚房地产增长的影响。具体目标是;确定抵押融资对肯尼亚房地产开发公司增长率的影响,找出留存收益对肯尼亚房地产开发公司增长率的影响,建立私募股权对肯尼亚房地产开发公司增长率的影响。确定合资企业对肯尼亚房地产开发公司增长率的影响,并评估企业规模对肯尼亚房地产开发公司融资选择与增长率关系的调节作用。本研究以抵押留置权理论、优先顺序理论、交易成本理论、资源依赖理论和住房周期理论为基础。本研究的目标人群包括所有72家公司谁是肯尼亚房地产开发商协会(KPDA)的成员。样本由23家公司组成,占样本框架的30%。样本量选择采用简单随机抽样设计。本研究采用描述性研究设计和回归模型,回归量为房地产增长率,以每家公司的住房单位增长率表示。因此,本研究遵循面板数据分析,因为单个公司的数据是在2014年至2018年的五年时间内收集的。结果表明,抵押贷款融资对肯尼亚房地产开发公司的增长率有积极但不显著的影响。进一步的研究结果表明,留存收益作为融资选择的来源显著损害了房地产开发公司的增长率。研究发现,私募股权对房地产开发公司的增长率有显著提高。合资企业对肯尼亚房地产开发企业增长率的影响为正但不显著。最后,企业规模被发现是非调节因素,而是一个解释变量,并在很大程度上损害了增长率。本研究建议房地产开发公司应增加私募股权在住房项目融资中的使用,因为这提高了实体的增长率。
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