Assessment of the Effect of the Policy Environment on Farm Decision-Making: Aggregate Acreage Response in the Canadian Prairies Under the Western Grains Stabilization Program

M. Lerohl, F. Novak, M. Miranda
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Abstract

An aggregate acreage supply model for the Canadian prairie provinces is estimated under the assumption that farmers base acreage allocation decisions on the rational ex-ante expectationa and variance of net per hectare revenue. In order to account directly for the effects of government intervention during the period of estimation, a structural model of the Western Grains Stabilization Program is incorporated into the estimation framework. Results indicate that the revenue enhancement and revenue stabilization effects of the program both contributed nearly equally to modest increases in cropped acreage between 1976 and 1990.
政策环境对农业决策影响的评估:西部粮食稳定计划下加拿大大草原的总面积响应
在假设农民基于每公顷净收入的合理事前预期和方差来进行面积分配决策的前提下,估计了加拿大草原省份的总面积供应模型。为了直接解释估算期间政府干预的影响,将西部粮食稳定计划的结构模型纳入估算框架。结果表明,在1976年至1990年期间,该计划的收入增加和收入稳定效应对作物种植面积的适度增加贡献几乎相等。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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