Determinants of Trading Decision: An Empirical Examination

Gunjan Sharma, T. Sikarwar, Suvigya Awasthi, K. Kulshreshtha
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Some of the reforms were like formation of SEBI, screen-based trading system, development of major stock exchanges NSE and BSE, circuit breaker T+2 rolling system, development of credit rating agencies, dematerialization of securities, commodity option trading, single license system, investor protection, growing derivative market, The fast revolution in Indian stock market has increased transparency and trust in its functioning. With the robust stock market the trading decisions of the investors gained relevance. Over the past decade, the Indian capital market has witnessed numerous changes in the direction of developing the capital markets more robust. With the growing Indian economy larger inflow of funds have been fetched into the capital markets. The government is continuously working on investor’s education in order to increase retail participation in the Indian stock market. 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Abstract

In the midst of increasing globalization, the past two decades have observed huge inflow of outside capital in the shape of direct and portfolio investment. The increase in the capital mobility is due to contact between the different economies across the globe. The growing liberalization in capital market leads to the growth of various financial products and services. The Indian stock market has become one of the established markets across the world due to reforms that took place in 1990 by the Indian government. These reforms have made the Indian stock market strong in its fundamentals which made India as a lucrative destination for investment. Some of the reforms were like formation of SEBI, screen-based trading system, development of major stock exchanges NSE and BSE, circuit breaker T+2 rolling system, development of credit rating agencies, dematerialization of securities, commodity option trading, single license system, investor protection, growing derivative market, The fast revolution in Indian stock market has increased transparency and trust in its functioning. With the robust stock market the trading decisions of the investors gained relevance. Over the past decade, the Indian capital market has witnessed numerous changes in the direction of developing the capital markets more robust. With the growing Indian economy larger inflow of funds have been fetched into the capital markets. The government is continuously working on investor’s education in order to increase retail participation in the Indian stock market. The habits of risk-averse middle class have been changing where these investors started participating in the Indian stock market.

The Indian stock market is exposed to various fluctuations as the Indian stock market is cointegrated with other Asian stock markets consequently the changes that occur in those markets affect our stock market. When the SENSEX goes down it creates a pessimistic environment in the mind of investors. The investor’s portfolio is affected and strategies have to be formulated in rebalancing the portfolio. While making an investment, even a little sum can create an impressive reward over the long haul, particularly on the off chance that is done routinely. However, one has to ensure the amount which is contributed and where to contribute it. There is an uncommon development in the investment area regarding the volume and number of speculators in India over the previous decades because of deregulation of the Indian budgetary segment. The quantity of territorial stock trades in India has expanded. Value revelation through book building process has given a gigantic lift to the underlying open offers and further open offers. The investment situation of Indian money related market wears another look, with a mindboggling reaction from the Indian financial specialists as well as from outside institutional investor With the rising number of stocks in the Indian equity market the individual investors have gained momentum in an increasing stock market Investors while trading in different financial assets consider various factors which are broadly categorized as the psychological as well as economic factors. It is an explored fact that human beings are irrational and considering this fact has become imperative to investigate factors that influence the trading decision.

In this research,` an attempt has been made to investigate various factors that affect the individual trading decision. The data has been collected from various stockbroking firms and from clients of those stockbroking firms their opinions’ were recorded by means of a questionnaire. Data collected through the structured questionnaire, 33 questions were prepared which was given to the 330 respondents on the basis of convenience sampling out of which 220 individuals filled questionnaire, the total of 200 questionnaires was included in the study after eliminating the incomplete questionnaire Various factors are being explored from the literature and then with the help of factor analysis some of the most influential factors have been explored. Factors like overconfidence, optimism, cognitive bias, herd behavior, advisory effect, and idealism are the factors which influenced the trading decision of the investors the most. Such kind of a study is contributing in the area of behavioral finance as a trading decision is an important aspect while investing in the stock market. And this kind of study would be helping and assisting financial advisors to strategies for their clients in making the right allocation and also the policy maker and market regulators to come up with better reforms for the Indian stock markets.
交易决策的决定因素:一个实证检验
在日益全球化的过程中,过去二十年观察到大量外部资本以直接和证券投资的形式流入。资本流动性的增加是由于全球不同经济体之间的联系。资本市场的日益自由化导致各种金融产品和服务的增长。由于印度政府在1990年进行的改革,印度股市已成为世界上成熟的市场之一。这些改革使印度股市的基本面强劲,使印度成为一个有利可图的投资目的地。其中一些改革如SEBI的形成,基于屏幕的交易系统,主要证券交易所NSE和BSE的发展,熔断T+2滚动系统,信用评级机构的发展,证券的非物质化,商品期权交易,单一许可证制度,投资者保护,不断增长的衍生品市场,印度股票市场的快速革命增加了透明度和对其运作的信任。在股市强劲的情况下,投资者的交易决策具有相关性。在过去的十年里,印度资本市场在发展资本市场的方向上发生了许多变化。随着印度经济的增长,大量资金流入资本市场。政府一直致力于投资者教育,以增加散户对印度股市的参与。厌恶风险的中产阶级的习惯正在改变,这些投资者开始参与印度股市。印度股票市场暴露于各种波动,因为印度股票市场与其他亚洲股票市场是协整的,因此这些市场发生的变化会影响我们的股票市场。当SENSEX指数下跌时,它在投资者心中创造了一个悲观的环境。投资者的投资组合受到影响,必须制定策略来重新平衡投资组合。在进行投资时,即使是一小笔钱,从长远来看也能创造出令人印象深刻的回报,特别是在常规操作的可能性很小的情况下。然而,人们必须确保捐款的数额和在哪里捐款。由于印度预算部门放松管制,在过去几十年里,印度的投机者数量和数量在投资领域出现了不寻常的发展。印度境内股票交易的数量已经扩大。通过建书过程的价值启示,极大地提升了底层的公开报价和进一步的公开报价。印度货币相关市场的投资情况呈现出另一种景象,印度金融专家和外部机构投资者的反应令人难以置信,随着印度股票市场股票数量的增加,个人投资者在不断增长的股票市场中获得了动力。投资者在交易不同的金融资产时考虑各种因素,这些因素大致分为心理因素和经济因素。人类是非理性的这一事实已被人们所探索,考虑到这一事实,研究影响交易决策的因素已势在必行。在这项研究中,试图调查影响个人交易决策的各种因素。数据收集自不同的股票经纪公司,并从这些股票经纪公司的客户中以问卷的方式记录了他们的意见。通过结构化问卷收集数据,在方便抽样的基础上,编制了33个问题,发给330名受访者,其中220人填写了问卷,剔除不完整的问卷后,总共纳入了200份问卷,从文献中探索各种因素,然后借助于因子分析,探索了一些最具影响力的因素。过度自信、乐观、认知偏差、羊群行为、咨询效应、理想主义等因素对投资者的交易决策影响最大。这种研究在行为金融学领域做出了贡献,因为交易决策是投资股票市场的一个重要方面。这种研究可以帮助财务顾问为客户制定正确的配置策略,也可以帮助政策制定者和市场监管机构为印度股市提出更好的改革方案。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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