Individual and Overall Analysis on Indonesian Stock Funds Market Timing and Selectivity

Amsal Irmalis, M. Muzakir
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Abstract

This study investigates Timing and Selection ability of managers in Indonesia Funds Industry.The one month stock funds net asset value, Indonesian Treasury-Bill (3-Months) and Market rerturn of Indonesia Stock Exchange covering from 2010-2014 is used on this research. We apply Treynor-Mazuy Equation to test the hypothesis. This investigation exhibit the timing the capital market ability as well as selectivity possess by managers both individuall as well as overall point of view. The reult shows that, individual analysis on the funds proves that the almost all of the managers only have slight of ability. Only three of the assets exhibit affirmative and statistically substantial alpha and none of them display confident timing skill. Breakdown of overall funds endorses that managers show a weak selectivity and timing expertise. Keywords: Treynor-Mazuy, |Stock Funds, Timing and Selectivity Skill
印尼股票基金市场时机与选择性的个别与整体分析
本研究探讨印尼基金业经理人的时机选择能力。本研究使用2010-2014年的一个月股票基金净资产值、印尼国库券(3个月)和印尼证券交易所市场收益率。我们运用Treynor-Mazuy方程对假设进行检验。这一调查显示了资本市场的时机,能力和选择性的管理者拥有个人和整体的观点。结果表明,对基金的个别分析表明,几乎所有的基金经理的能力都很弱。只有三种资产表现出肯定的和统计上可观的alpha,没有一种资产表现出自信的择时技巧。整体基金的细分表明,基金经理表现出较弱的选择性和择时能力。关键词:Treynor-Mazuy,股票基金,时机选择技巧
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