A study of stock price analysis algorithms for new energy companies based on random forest and genetic algorithms

Shiyang Song, Junhan Gao, Anran Zhao, Yu Li, C. Li, Y. Zhu
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Abstract

China is the world's largest emerging energy market, but due to the rapid development of China's new energy industry special, the value of new energy companies are more susceptible to sharp increases and decreases brought about by external factors in the market compared to other companies. In this paper, we propose an algorithm that uses an effective cluster learning strategy (Random Forest) contrasted with a genetic algorithm. A new financial forecasting model GSRF is constructed by parameter optimization of random forest model through grid search algorithm, and the model is applied to short-term stock forecasting. This paper builds a stock price trend forecasting model based on both algorithms and uses the model to determine whether the cost of a stock will be higher than its cost at a given date. The experimental results show that the model built using GSRF stochastic forest has the highest return and the lowest risk compared to the return based on the traditional genetic algorithm trading strategy.
基于随机森林和遗传算法的新能源公司股价分析算法研究
中国是全球最大的新兴能源市场,但由于中国新能源产业发展迅速的特殊性,新能源企业的价值相比其他企业更容易受到市场外部因素带来的大幅增减的影响。在本文中,我们提出了一种算法,与遗传算法相比,它使用了有效的聚类学习策略(随机森林)。通过网格搜索算法对随机森林模型进行参数优化,构建了一种新的金融预测模型GSRF,并将其应用于短期股票预测。本文在这两种算法的基础上建立了股价趋势预测模型,并利用该模型来确定股票的成本是否会高于给定日期的成本。实验结果表明,与基于传统遗传算法的交易策略相比,使用GSRF随机森林构建的模型具有最高的收益和最低的风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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