Analysis and Prediction of Regional Influencing Factors based on GRA-RBF Algorithm

Yi Li, Qi-xiang Zhang, Tianru Zhu
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Abstract

On the analysis and prediction of regional influencing factors. In this paper, under the three aspects of internal factors, international factors and investment, Beijing’s data in the past 10 years are used for study. In view of the ambiguity and incompleteness of the data information, the gray comprehensive correlation analysis (GRA) is used to identify the influencing factors, and the radial basis is further used. The radial basis function (RBF) neural network explores the potential relationship between different factors to achieve the purpose of predicting import and export trade. The results show that: (1) based on the contribution analysis algorithm, it can be found that the influencing factors affecting Beijing area, (2) 70% are used as learning samples for ANN training, 15% as validation set, and the remaining 15% as test set. Finally, it is predicted that the trade volume of Beijing will increase in the coming years.
基于GRA-RBF算法的区域影响因素分析与预测
区域影响因素分析与预测。本文从内部因素、国际因素和投资三个方面,利用北京近10年的数据进行研究。针对数据信息的模糊性和不完全性,采用灰色综合关联分析(GRA)识别影响因素,并进一步采用径向基。径向基函数(RBF)神经网络探索不同因素之间的潜在关系,以达到预测进出口贸易的目的。结果表明:(1)基于贡献分析算法,可以发现影响北京地区的影响因素;(2)70%作为人工神经网络训练的学习样本,15%作为验证集,其余15%作为测试集。最后,预测未来几年北京的贸易额将会增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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