Metro Passenger Flow Prediction Based on Optimized BP Neural Network Algorithm

Fei Xu, Song Gao
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Abstract

In recent years, the metro passenger flow in big cities has been increasing, and some lines are often crowded and delayed, which brings great pressure to the metro operation and management department. Therefore, it is urgent to build a scientific and effective mathematical model, which can help the metro operation and management department to formulate a reasonable train scheduling plan. This paper provides a new algorithm called APSO. APSO is used to optimize the BP neural network, namely APSO-BP algorithm. Experiments show that APSO-BP has high accuracy for metro passenger flow prediction.
基于优化BP神经网络算法的地铁客流预测
近年来,大城市的地铁客流不断增加,一些线路经常出现拥挤和延误,给地铁运营管理部门带来了很大的压力。因此,迫切需要建立科学有效的数学模型,帮助地铁运营管理部门制定合理的列车调度计划。本文提出了一种新的算法——APSO。采用APSO算法对BP神经网络进行优化,即APSO-BP算法。实验表明,APSO-BP算法对地铁客流预测具有较高的准确性。
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