Pathways Out of Poverty During an Economic Crisis: An Empirical Assessment of Rural Indonesia

N. McCulloch, P. Timmer, Julian Weisbrod
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引用次数: 82

Abstract

Most poor people in developing countries still live in rural areas and are primarily engaged in low productivity farming activities. Thus pathways out of poverty are likely to be strongly connected to productivity increases in the rural economy, whether they are realized in farming, in rural nonfarm enterprises, or by way of rural-urban migration. The authors use cross-sectional data from the Central Statistical Board for 1993 and 2002, as well as a panel data set from the Indonesia Family Life Survey for 1993 and 2000, to show which pathways out of poverty were most successful over this period. The findings suggest that increased engagement of farmers in rural nonfarm enterprises is an important route out of rural poverty, but that most of the rural agricultural poor that exit poverty still do so while remaining rural and agricultural. So changes in agricultural prices, wages, and productivity still play a critical role in moving people out of poverty.
经济危机中摆脱贫困的途径:对印尼农村的实证评估
发展中国家的大多数穷人仍然生活在农村地区,主要从事低生产率的农业活动。因此,摆脱贫困的途径很可能与农村经济生产率的提高密切相关,无论是通过农业、农村非农业企业实现,还是通过农村向城市迁移实现。作者使用了中央统计委员会1993年和2002年的横断面数据,以及印度尼西亚家庭生活调查1993年和2000年的面板数据集,来显示这一时期摆脱贫困的途径是最成功的。研究结果表明,增加农民对农村非农企业的参与是摆脱农村贫困的重要途径,但大多数农村农业贫困人口在摆脱贫困的同时仍然保持农村和农业。因此,农产品价格、工资和生产率的变化仍然在帮助人们摆脱贫困方面发挥着关键作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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