Stock Sale Induced by Anxiety in the Face of Risk

Seiya Kuno, Y. Osaki
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Abstract

It is observed that stock price fluctuations are slowly in upward phases like bubble, but fast in downward phases like its burst. This paper provides a new theoretical explanation of this phenomenon, especially why stock price drops sharply, based on the timing of stock sales. Investors tend to be more risk averse when the timing of decision making is closer for the present. This tendency can explain that the timing of stock sales is different according to risk aversion. When investors become excessive risk averse, they tend to sell stocks more in the present. This result is consistent with asymmetric patterns of stock price fluctuation when investors are moderate risk averse in normal economic conditions, but excessive risk averse in abnormal economic condition like the fear of financial crises.
面对风险时焦虑引发的股票抛售
可以观察到,股票价格波动在像泡沫一样的上升阶段是缓慢的,而在像泡沫破裂一样的下降阶段是快速的。本文从股票抛售时机的角度对这一现象,特别是股票价格急剧下跌的原因提供了新的理论解释。当当前的决策时机接近时,投资者往往更倾向于规避风险。这种趋势可以解释,根据风险厌恶程度的不同,抛售股票的时机是不同的。当投资者变得过度厌恶风险时,他们倾向于在当前卖出更多的股票。这一结果与投资者在正常经济条件下适度规避风险,而在金融危机恐惧等异常经济条件下过度规避风险时股价波动的不对称模式是一致的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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